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UFC on Fox 3: Diaz vs. Miller Predictions

Here is another edition of MMA Predictions featuring UFC on Fox 3: Diaz vs Miller, which is being held in the IZOD Center, New Jersey USA. The headlining bout for this event is a #1 contender fight between UFC and lightweight veterans Jim Miller and Nate Diaz.

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Pat Barry(7-4) vs Lavar Johnson(16-5)

A fan friendly bout and potential fight of the night contender, technical and explosive kick boxer Pat ‘HD’ Barry will take on powerful striker and Strikeforce import Lavar Johnson. Barry is coming into this fight with a KO victory and fight of the night performance over Christian Morecraft at UFC on FX1, which snapped a two fight losing streak. Johnson is entering this fight with an impressive knockout victory over durable fighter Joey Beltran at UFC on Fox 2. Stylistically this fight will be a stand up war with technical striking versus raw power punching. Barry really has to use effective footwork and speed to cover the reach difference and get in and out of Johnson’s strikes without getting hit while Johnson will look to trap Barry up against the cage and unleash powerful strikes. I’ve got Barry taking this one by using leg kicks and his speed advantage to evade Johnson and land his trademark heavy leg kicks and chop down the giant.

Winner – Pat Barry, TKO – Round 3.

Rousimar Palhares(14-3) vs Alan Belcher(17-6)

An important middleweight fight between submission specialist  Rousimar Palhares and well-rounded Alan Belcher. Palhares is coming off of an impressive submission victory over Mike Massenzio at UFC 142 in which he won submission of the night honors. Belcher is entering this fight with a first round submission victory due to strikes  over Jason McDonald at UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger. This fight will be determined by a takedown, if Palhares can get this fight to the ground and if so can the BJJ black belt Alan Belcher survive against Palhares’s elite level grappling skills. I feel that Palhares is going to be able to eventually get this fight to the ground and secure a trademark leg lock and move up the middleweight division rankings.

Winner – Rousimar Palhares, Submission – Round 2.

Josh Koscheck(17-5) vs Johny Hendricks(12-1)

A huge top 10 ranked match up in the welterweight division between former 1# contender Josh Koscheck and top prospect Johny Hendricks. Koscheck is coming into this fight with a close split decision victory over tough opponent Mike Pierce at UFC 141. Johny Hendricks is entering this fight off of a career defining 12 second KO victory over long time world ranked #2 welterweight Jon Finch at UFC 141. This is a match up between two wrestlers turned strikers and will both being looking to strike with more so being Hendricks, as I can see Koscheck trading in the first round before he starts mixing things up with some takedowns as on paper he is the better wrestler. I’ve got Koscheck speaking this one in a very narrow decision victory and displaying the experience he has over top-level fighters since his stint on TUF 1.

Winner – Josh Koscheck, Decision – Round 3.

Nate Diaz(15-7) vs. Jim Miller(21-3)

A major fight in the lightweight division  that will more than likely determine the new #1 contender for the lightweight title, between always entertaining Nate Diaz and durable Jim Miller. Miller is entering this fight after a come back from behind submission victory over explosive striker Melvin Guillard at UFC on FX 1 in which he also won the submission of the night. Diaz has been on a tear in the lightweight division since returning from the welterweight division and is on a two fight win streak over notables Takanori Gomi and highly regarded Donald Cerrone in which he won submission of the night and fight of the night. Diaz will be looking to out box Miller and use his reach to keep the smaller fighter away from using his wrestling while Miller will be looking to close the distance and get a hold of Diaz and take the fight to the mat, exposing his weakness of wresting which fighters like Maynard, Guida and Stevenson did in their respected fights. I’ve got Diaz out-boxing Miller the whole fight but not finishing the durable fighter who has never been finished in his career. Also with it being a 5 round fight I can only see this only being an advantage to Diaz with his amazing cardio, like his brother, Nick Diaz.

Winner – Nate Diaz, Decision – Round 5.

Other Fights ( Prelims) – Predicted winners in bold.

Tony Ferguson vs. Michael Johnson – TKO R.2
John Dodson vs. Tim Elliott – TKO R.1
John Hathaway vs. Pascal Krauss – Decision R.3
Louis Gaudinot vs. John Lineker – Decision R.3
Danny Castillo vs. John Cholish – TKO R.3
Dennis Bermudez vs. Pablo Garza – Submission R.2
Roland Delorme vs. Nick Denis – TKO R.2
Mike Massenzio vs. Karlos Vemola – TKO R.3

Thanks for reading and follow me on twitter – @jmatthewwood



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