UFC 149: Faber vs. Barao Predictions

Here is another addition of MMA predictions featuring UFC 149: Faber vs. Barao,  which is being held on the 21 July 2012 at Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Canada. The headlining bout is for the Interim Bantamweight title between former WEC Featherweight Champion Urijah ‘The California Kid’ Faber and Brazilian star Renan Barao.

UFC 149

All Rights to Zuffa


Main Card Fights


Chris Clements(11-4) vs Matt Riddle(6–3)

A sure slug-fest which I can see being a potential of winning the Fight of the Night award with both fighters looking to exchange. I can see this fight being a back and forth fight with Clements possessing more power; causing more damage on route to a decision victory after an entertaining match up.

My Winner: Chris Clements, Decision – Round 3. 

Brian Ebersole(50–14–1 (1)) vs James Head(8–2)

A fight between crafty veteran Brain Ebersole and power puncher James Head. Ebersole will look to use the same strategy he used in his recent bout with Walderburger and use effective takedowns and ground and pound which will lead to a submission victory after punishing Head while in his guard. Head will look to use his power and strength to wear down his smaller opponent and constantly back him up with his boxing. I can see Ebersole’s huge experience advantage playing a huge part in this fight and will use his experience to adapt his game plan to exploit Head’s weaknesses of fighting off of his back.

My Winner: Brian Ebersole, Submission – Round 2. 

Cheick Kongo(17–7–2) vs Shawn Jordan(13–3)

A hit or miss fight between a very hit and miss fighter in Cheick Kongo against Strikeforce import Shawn Jordan. Recently Kongo seems to have fought very reserved against fighters he was expected to out class like Matt Mitrione and Travis Browne which is similar to this fight as he is also the huge favorite again. Jordan will have to take the fight to Kongo and exploit his recent suspect chin and striking defense shown against strikers Pat Barry and Mark Hunt and will need to pressure the French man straight from the starting bell. I got Kongo winning this fight via decision in a dull affair by using an effective range and distance while landing jabs to out point Jordan and keep him at bay throughout the bout.

My Winner: Cheick Kongo, Decision – Round 3. 

Hector Lombard(31-2-1 (1)) vs Tim Boetsch(15–4)

The long-awaited arrival of former Bellator Middleweight Champion Hector Lombard and top contender Tim Boetsch is set to be a slug-fest and another potential Fight of the Night bout. Lombard is known by many hardcore fans for his aggressive style in and out of the ring with many reporting s of going 100% with training partners and knocking out opponents in quick fashion in professional bouts. Boetsch is known for his heart and come back ability which was displayed in his recent victory over Yushin Okami at UFC 144. This fight is sure to be fast paced with Lombard looking to be the aggressor early and hunting down Boetsch through out the fight looking to land his huge hay-makers. Boetsch will look to weather the storm in the first round and look to depict the pace going into the second round and look for either a late stoppage or close decision victory. I’ve got Lombard taking this fight just down to his aggressive style and powerful punches that will hurt Boetsch so much he won’t be able to recover unlike his fight against Okami. This fight for Lombard will make a huge statement in the Middleweight division which is more than likely going to earn him a title shot against Anderson Silva.

My Winner: Hector Lombard, TKO – Round 1. 

Urijah Faber(26–5) vs Renan Barao(28-1 (1))

A huge title fight for the Interim Bantamweight title between WEC star Urijah Faber and Brazilian sensation Renan Barao.  This fight is very intriguing due to how close the skill sets are between the two fighters and it will come down to who can implement their game-plan better or who can capitalize on mistakes better. Faber over the years has come leaps and bounds in the striking department especially with his boxing and has ever-growing confidence in his hands. While Barao has a slight edge in the striking with more diverse striking offence as he incorporates more kicks and knees to his arsenal. There is no question who has the advantage in the wrestling department with Faber effectively showing his great wrestling against known takedown defense expert Eddie Wineland although Barao showed good takedown defense against Scott Jorgenson although Faber is a much better MMA wrestler then Jorgenson. Jui Jitsu is defiantly an advantage to Barao who is a BJJ black belt but Faber has a very nasty guillotine and slick submission game himself.  Barao will look to use effective defensive wrestling to keep the fight standing and using leg kicks like Aldo, his teammate, did to slow down Faber in the later rounds and earn either a late stoppage or a decision victory. Faber will look to mix up his attack to keep Barao guessing and use effective boxing to counter with huge hooks when Barao goes for leg kicks or catch the kick and work for a takedown. This fight is a real toss-up but I have to agree with Faber when he said Barao is good but he hasn’t fought anyone like him. I see Faber’s experience shining through and picking up a close decision by mixing up his striking and wrestling to win on the judges scorecards.

My Winner: Urijah Faber, Decision – Round 5. 


Preliminary Fights (predicted winners in bold & red)

Court McGee vs Nick Ring – DEC, R3

Roland Delorme vs Francisco Rivera – SUB, R3

Ryan Jimmo vs Anthony Perosh – SUB, R1

Bryan Caraway vs Mitch Gagnon – DEC, R3

Antonio Carvalho vs Daniel Pineda – TKO, R2

Mitch Clarke vs Anton Kuivanen – DEC, R3


Thank you for reading my post! Please leave a comment or like this post, I would really appreciate it!

Thanks again and follow me on twitter – @jmatthewwood



2 comments on “UFC 149: Faber vs. Barao Predictions

  1. This was a bad night of picks! Hope you didn’t lose too much.

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